The factors in favour of a drop in the Technicolor share price:
Technicolor's first major shortcoming concerns the financial charges that the group must bear. These charges are still considered too heavy at the moment and therefore weigh on the profitability and competitiveness of the company.
We can also wonder about the future of certain of the group's businesses, such as the set-top box sector. The preservation of licenses in the medium term is therefore a key issue for the group which, in the event of failure, could cause it a lot of harm.
Although the connected home business is Technicolor's most important business, its profitability is still considered insufficient by analysts. This is also true for entertainment services, which are also not very profitable at the moment.
In recent news, the group has also lost the MPEG LA patent recently. As a result, the old marketing strategy based primarily on the collection of royalties is no longer relevant. It is now necessary for the company to rely on signing contracts with producers in the consumer electronics sector. However, the increasingly short life span of video compression technologies leads to a significant lack of visibility regarding future sales possibilities.
Generally speaking, we note that forecasts on the group's activities remain very complex to date. Indeed, the Technicolor group no longer publishes quarterly revenues since 2017 and investors can therefore only rely on annual revenues.
Finally, Technicolor stock is causing a lot of doubt among buyers due to its recent history and the loss in 2016, not to mention the earnings warnings received in 2016 and 2017.